BirdAnalyst
Species · West Virginia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Gray Catbird Population Trend in West Virginia

All statesForest birds

Gray Catbird in West Virginia has held roughly steady: up 3% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+3%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
64Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Gray Catbird Trends in West VirginiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Gray Catbird in West Virginia. See the full index history below.

Gray Catbird Population Forecast in West Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Gray Catbird in West Virginia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 13 (95% range 10–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-9%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
13Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
10–1695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±12.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Gray Catbird in West Virginia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 13 (95% range 10–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026131016
2027131016
2028131016
2029131016
2030131016

Gray Catbird Survey Routes in West Virginia

Routes recording Gray Catbird in West Virginia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Lost River4720251996
Pedro3420251979
Bismark3220251976
Meadowville2820251972
Moundsville2720251972
Josephs Mill2720241993
Clear Creek2620251988
Green Bank2520251977
Valley Head2320251966
Monongah2320221966
Sleepy Creek2319901966
Mcdonald2220231987
Three Forks2120251971
Yellow Spg1820231972
Welch1720251980
Dailey1720251973
Ringgold1720252025
Ghent1620251978
Cedarville1620231982
Bebee1620251972
Mt Storm1619751966
Rio1619951974
Clinton1620251966
Smoot1520251980
Clendenin1520251979

Gray Catbird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.