BirdAnalyst
Species · West Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Gray Catbird Population Trend in West Virginia

All statesGeneralists

Gray Catbird in West Virginia has held roughly steady: down 1% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-1%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
63Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Gray Catbird Trends in West VirginiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Gray Catbird in West Virginia. See the full index history below.

Gray Catbird Population Forecast in West Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Gray Catbird in West Virginia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 13 (95% range 10–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+9%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
13Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
10–1695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±13.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Gray Catbird in West Virginia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 13 (95% range 10–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025131016
2026131016
2027131016
2028131016
2029131016

Gray Catbird Survey Routes in West Virginia

Routes recording Gray Catbird in West Virginia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Smithfield3320241993
Ghent3020241978
Josephs Mill2720241993
Bramwell2520231978
Three Forks2320241971
Monongah2320221966
Sleepy Creek2319901966
Mcdonald2220231987
Clear Creek2020241988
Meadland2020241997
Green Bank2020241977
Valley Head1920241966
Yellow Spg1820231972
Moundsville1720241972
Cedarville1620231982
Mt Storm1619751966
Rio1619951974
Clinton1620241966
Hix1520241970
Meadowville1520241972
Ruthbelle1420241975
Bowden1420241993
Sugar Grove1320241966
Rockport1320241966
Bismark1320231976

Gray Catbird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.