Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Gray Catbird Population Trend in Kentucky
Gray Catbird in Kentucky has fallen sharply: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-74%Since 1968
62Routes In State
58Years
Notable Gray Catbird Trends in Kentucky
long arc declinecomputed index
Gray Catbird has fallen sharply in Kentucky: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Gray Catbird Population Forecast in Kentucky
If the recent trend holds, Gray Catbird in Kentucky is projected to fall about 72% by 2029 — from 1.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.48 (95% range 0.00–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-72%Change by 2029
0.48Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.195% range
±44.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.92 | 0.00 | 2.6 |
| 2026 | 0.81 | 0.00 | 2.5 |
| 2027 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 2.4 |
| 2028 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
Gray Catbird Survey Routes in Kentucky
| Paintsville | 25 | 1995 | 1979 |
| Pine Ridge | 19 | 1978 | 1966 |
| Pippa Passes | 13 | 1997 | 1988 |
| Staffordsvil | 12 | 1997 | 1996 |
| Beattyville | 9 | 2001 | 1966 |
| Johnsonville | 9 | 2021 | 1966 |
| Gesling | 9 | 1973 | 1967 |
| Phelps | 9 | 1997 | 1979 |
| Plum | 8 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Hodgenville 2 | 8 | 2023 | 2008 |
| Kehoe | 7 | 1992 | 1966 |
| Monticello | 6 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Hustonville | 6 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Sewell Shop | 6 | 2023 | 1966 |
| East Union | 6 | 2022 | 1966 |
| Million 2 | 6 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Hodgenville | 5 | 2003 | 1967 |
| Dixon | 4 | 2022 | 2005 |
| Mckee | 4 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Levee | 4 | 1982 | 1966 |
| Drakesboro | 4 | 2003 | 1966 |
| Buena Vista | 4 | 2017 | 1966 |
| Pleasurevill | 4 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Boxville | 3 | 1981 | 1967 |
| Dixie | 3 | 2008 | 1967 |
Gray Catbird Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.