Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Cliff Swallow Population Trend in Texas
Cliff Swallow in Texas has risen sharply: up 65% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+65%Since 1969
231Routes In State
57Years
Notable Cliff Swallow Trends in Texas
long arc increasecomputed index
Cliff Swallow has risen sharply in Texas: up 65% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Cliff Swallow Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Cliff Swallow in Texas is projected to rise about 35% by 2029 — from 35 in 2024 to a central estimate of 47 (95% range 20–74). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±81.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+35%Change by 2029
47Projected 2029 index
20–7495% range
±81.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46 | 19 | 73 |
| 2026 | 46 | 19 | 73 |
| 2027 | 46 | 19 | 74 |
| 2028 | 47 | 20 | 74 |
| 2029 | 47 | 20 | 74 |
Cliff Swallow Survey Routes in Texas
| Olney | 960 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Bonner | 652 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Channing | 646 | 2018 | 1967 |
| Goliad Prairie | 577 | 2016 | 2004 |
| Grayback | 299 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Post | 252 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Beaver Creek | 243 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Fitzhugh | 203 | 1983 | 1969 |
| Campbellton | 200 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Gainesville | 189 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Bayside 2 | 170 | 2004 | 1997 |
| Girard | 161 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Glen Rose | 157 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Childress | 142 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Smyrna | 134 | 2010 | 2005 |
| Rock Island | 120 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Winnie | 111 | 2024 | 2001 |
| La Pryor | 103 | 2017 | 1971 |
| Oyster Lake | 98 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Laredo | 83 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Chandler | 81 | 2004 | 1994 |
| Millett | 80 | 2009 | 1995 |
| Easton | 80 | 2013 | 1998 |
| Booker | 79 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Easton 2 | 79 | 2024 | 2014 |
Cliff Swallow Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.