Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Cliff Swallow Population Trend in North Dakota
Cliff Swallow in North Dakota has surged: up 203% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+203%Since 1969
51Routes In State
57Years
Notable Cliff Swallow Trends in North Dakota
long arc increasecomputed index
Cliff Swallow has surged in North Dakota: up 202% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Cliff Swallow Population Forecast in North Dakota
If the recent trend holds, Cliff Swallow in North Dakota is projected to rise about 43% by 2029 — from 55 in 2024 to a central estimate of 79 (95% range 56–101). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+43%Change by 2029
79Projected 2029 index
56–10195% range
±33.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 75 | 52 | 98 |
| 2026 | 76 | 53 | 99 |
| 2027 | 77 | 54 | 100 |
| 2028 | 78 | 55 | 100 |
| 2029 | 79 | 56 | 101 |
Cliff Swallow Survey Routes in North Dakota
| Braddock | 555 | 2022 | 1988 |
| Bowesmont | 420 | 2014 | 1968 |
| Nash | 396 | 2017 | 1980 |
| Cooperstown | 280 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Abercrombie 2 | 255 | 2018 | 2013 |
| Buchanan | 252 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Dunn Center | 174 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Ft Yates | 165 | 2004 | 1968 |
| Abercrombie | 147 | 2012 | 1983 |
| Edgeley | 119 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Gorham | 107 | 2018 | 1977 |
| Sydney | 104 | 1983 | 1967 |
| Douglas Crk | 91 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Regan | 84 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Rolla | 80 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Parshall | 80 | 2013 | 1982 |
| Bowesmont 2 | 75 | 2016 | 2015 |
| Carpio | 57 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Solen | 57 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Dickinson | 55 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Tobacco | 55 | 2018 | 1969 |
| Golva | 52 | 2023 | 1979 |
| Montpelier | 44 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Emerado | 41 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Carson | 41 | 2024 | 1988 |
Cliff Swallow Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.