Species · Pennsylvania · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Cliff Swallow Population Trend in Pennsylvania
Cliff Swallow in Pennsylvania has declined: down 36% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-36%Since 1968
85Routes In State
58Years
Notable Cliff Swallow Trends in Pennsylvania
No notable trend signals for Cliff Swallow in Pennsylvania. See the full index history below.
Cliff Swallow Population Forecast in Pennsylvania
If the recent trend holds, Cliff Swallow in Pennsylvania is projected to rise about 25% by 2029 — from 0.56 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.70 (95% range 0.00–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+25%Change by 2029
0.70Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.695% range
±27.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
| 2026 | 0.74 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2027 | 0.73 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2028 | 0.72 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
Cliff Swallow Survey Routes in Pennsylvania
| Garrett | 21 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Harrisville | 18 | 2011 | 2011 |
| Eldred | 11 | 2022 | 1981 |
| Carsonville | 10 | 1996 | 1989 |
| Russell City | 8 | 2023 | 1970 |
| Munson | 8 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Ltl Pine Cr | 8 | 2021 | 1996 |
| Roulette | 6 | 2016 | 1977 |
| West Grove | 6 | 1992 | 1976 |
| Ridgway | 5 | 1967 | 1967 |
| Rosecrans | 5 | 2022 | 1969 |
| Susquehanna | 5 | 2024 | 1971 |
| New Ringgold | 5 | 2015 | 1966 |
| Clearfield | 5 | 1993 | 1971 |
| Mill Run | 5 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Rasselas | 4 | 2016 | 2006 |
| Marsh Hill | 4 | 2022 | 1984 |
| Ryde | 4 | 1997 | 1978 |
| Wild Creek | 4 | 2023 | 1988 |
| Espyville | 3 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Lynch | 3 | 2017 | 1971 |
| Pottersdale | 3 | 1997 | 1971 |
| Betula | 3 | 2022 | 1973 |
| Ramsey | 3 | 2019 | 1968 |
| Little Marsh | 3 | 2015 | 2001 |
Cliff Swallow Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.