BirdAnalyst
Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cliff Swallow Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesAerial insectivores

Cliff Swallow in Arkansas has surged: up 18× on the route-weighted index since 1976.

18×Since 1976
33Routes In State
45Years

Notable Cliff Swallow Trends in Arkansas

long arc increasecomputed index

Cliff Swallow has surged in Arkansas: up 18× on the route-weighted index since 1976.

Cliff Swallow Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Cliff Swallow in Arkansas is projected to rise about 144% by 2029 — from 3.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.4 (95% range 2.7–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±75.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+144%Change by 2029
8.4Projected 2029 index
2.7–1495% range
±75.2%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20257.72.113
20267.92.213
20278.02.414
20288.22.614
20298.42.714

Cliff Swallow Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Cliff Swallow in Arkansas.
Gillett6120162010
England4720242011
Massard4220221998
Yellville2620222022
Hughes2520232010
Stamps2420162016
South Bend2120232008
Augusta 22020162006
Coal Hill1720231986
Wilson1720242021
Rupert1220211990
Augusta1120011998
Crowley'S Ridge920242012
Farwell820182017
Dell820242024
Springhill820132010
Old Milo720142014
Stark720121968
Ravenden Springs720152011
Eudora620242008
Russell620212010
Nance520241995
Maynard420241999
Stephens420162016
Crows319811981

Cliff Swallow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.