Species · Massachusetts · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Cliff Swallow Population Trend in Massachusetts
Cliff Swallow in Massachusetts has fallen sharply: down 61% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-61%Since 1969
15Routes In State
38Years
Notable Cliff Swallow Trends in Massachusetts
long arc declinecomputed index
Cliff Swallow has fallen sharply in Massachusetts: down 61% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Cliff Swallow Population Forecast in Massachusetts
If the recent trend holds, Cliff Swallow in Massachusetts is projected to fall about 95% by 2029 — from 0.33 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.54). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±105.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-95%Change by 2029
0.01Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5495% range
±105.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.56 |
| 2026 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.56 |
| 2027 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| 2028 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.54 |
| 2029 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.54 |
Cliff Swallow Survey Routes in Massachusetts
| E Pepperell | 5 | 1981 | 1968 |
| Cummington 2 | 5 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Cheshire | 4 | 1993 | 1970 |
| Maynard | 2 | 1968 | 1968 |
| S Barre | 2 | 1994 | 1972 |
| N Orange | 2 | 1972 | 1969 |
| Princeton | 1 | 1969 | 1969 |
| Belchertown | 1 | 1992 | 1975 |
| Warren | 1 | 1975 | 1969 |
| Cummington | 1 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Chesterfield | 1 | 2008 | 1967 |
| Pittsfield | 1 | 1997 | 1978 |
| Sheffield | 1 | 2013 | 1974 |
| Holden | 1 | 1983 | 1981 |
| Hancock | 1 | 2000 | 2000 |
Cliff Swallow Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.