Species · Alabama · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Cliff Swallow Population Trend in Alabama
Cliff Swallow in Alabama has surged: up 173× on the route-weighted index since 1971.
173×Since 1971
66Routes In State
54Years
Notable Cliff Swallow Trends in Alabama
long arc increasecomputed index
Cliff Swallow has surged in Alabama: up 173× on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Cliff Swallow Population Forecast in Alabama
If the recent trend holds, Cliff Swallow in Alabama is projected to fall about 39% by 2029 — from 30 in 2024 to a central estimate of 18 (95% range 11–26). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-39%Change by 2029
18Projected 2029 index
11–2695% range
±23.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 9.3 | 24 |
| 2026 | 17 | 9.6 | 25 |
| 2027 | 18 | 10.0 | 25 |
| 2028 | 18 | 10 | 25 |
| 2029 | 18 | 11 | 26 |
Cliff Swallow Survey Routes in Alabama
| Pine Grove | 700 | 2024 | 1977 |
| Epes | 507 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Triana | 417 | 2012 | 2000 |
| Sprott-Cahaba Riv | 300 | 2014 | 1999 |
| Riverside | 227 | 2013 | 2000 |
| Swaim | 182 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Guntersville | 106 | 2017 | 1980 |
| Mt Olive | 70 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Smyer Lake | 57 | 2022 | 2009 |
| Stevenson | 52 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Billingsley | 40 | 2022 | 2000 |
| Oneonta | 30 | 2023 | 2005 |
| Gastonburg | 30 | 2022 | 2018 |
| Seale | 30 | 2017 | 2008 |
| Vina | 27 | 2023 | 1997 |
| Talladega | 27 | 2024 | 2003 |
| Elkmont | 23 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Wheeler Dam | 22 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Valhermoso Spgs | 20 | 2010 | 1978 |
| Holt | 20 | 2024 | 2003 |
| Hillsboro | 19 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Wedgeworth | 19 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Childersburg | 18 | 1999 | 1998 |
| St. Elmo | 18 | 2021 | 2001 |
| Liberty | 16 | 2022 | 2008 |
Cliff Swallow Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.