Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Goldfinch Population Trend in Arkansas
American Goldfinch in Arkansas has risen sharply: up 58% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+58%Since 1969
46Routes In State
57Years
Notable American Goldfinch Trends in Arkansas
long arc increasecomputed index
American Goldfinch has risen sharply in Arkansas: up 58% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
American Goldfinch Population Forecast in Arkansas
If the recent trend holds, American Goldfinch in Arkansas is projected to rise about 91% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 1.1–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±66.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+91%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
1.1–3.095% range
±66.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.0 | 0.99 | 2.9 |
| 2026 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.9 |
| 2027 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 2028 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 3.0 |
| 2029 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 3.0 |
American Goldfinch Survey Routes in Arkansas
| Farwell | 30 | 2018 | 2010 |
| Compton | 22 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Yellville | 12 | 2022 | 2010 |
| Marshall | 8 | 2021 | 2011 |
| Ozark Nf | 7 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Dell | 7 | 2015 | 2010 |
| Maynard | 5 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Boston Mtn. | 5 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Ashdown | 4 | 2007 | 2007 |
| Harrisburg | 4 | 2012 | 1974 |
| Avoca | 4 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Rudy | 4 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Magazine Mtn | 3 | 2021 | 1993 |
| Hatfield 2 | 3 | 2023 | 2017 |
| Blakely | 3 | 1998 | 1968 |
| Waldron | 3 | 2023 | 1983 |
| Zion | 3 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Fulton | 3 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Havana | 3 | 2021 | 2011 |
| Old Milo | 2 | 1996 | 1991 |
| Saffell | 2 | 2013 | 1967 |
| Stark | 2 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Lurton | 2 | 2023 | 1969 |
| Hickory Ridge | 2 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Nance | 2 | 2019 | 1994 |
American Goldfinch Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.