Guild · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Forest Birds In Alaska
30 species in this guild. As a group they are -39% since 1972.
Guild Signals
No notable trend signals for forest birds in Alaska. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Forest birds in Alaska is projected to fall about 20% by 2029 — from 6.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.4 (95% range 1.5–9.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-20%Change by 2029
5.4Projected 2029 index
1.5–9.295% range
±16.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 9.5 |
| 2026 | 5.6 | 1.7 | 9.4 |
| 2027 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 9.3 |
| 2028 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 9.3 |
| 2029 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 9.2 |
Member Species In Alaska
| MacGillivray's Warbler | Parulidae | -92% |
| Tennessee Warbler | Parulidae | -90% |
| Hairy Woodpecker | Picidae | -66% |
| Common Yellowthroat | Parulidae | -65% |
| Brown Creeper | Certhiidae | -61% |
| Gray-cheeked Thrush | Turdidae | -58% |
| Black-capped Chickadee | Paridae | -58% |
| Downy Woodpecker | Picidae | -37% |
| American Redstart | Parulidae | -34% |
| Pacific Wren | Troglodytidae | -15% |
| Swainson's Thrush | Turdidae | -6% |
| Yellow Warbler | Parulidae | -5% |
| Red-breasted Sapsucker | Picidae | +3% |
| Wilson's Warbler | Parulidae | +4% |
| Blackpoll Warbler | Parulidae | +7% |
| Townsend's Solitaire | Turdidae | +26% |
| American Robin | Turdidae | +37% |
| Golden-crowned Kinglet | Regulidae | +73% |
| American Three-toed Woodpecker | Picidae | +112% |
| Boreal Chickadee | Paridae | +113% |
| Ruby-crowned Kinglet | Regulidae | +128% |
| Townsend's Warbler | Parulidae | +131% |
| Varied Thrush | Turdidae | +143% |
| Hermit Thrush | Turdidae | +155% |
| Chestnut-backed Chickadee | Paridae | +169% |
| Northern Waterthrush | Parulidae | +180% |
| Black-backed Woodpecker | Picidae | +182% |
| Orange-crowned Warbler | Parulidae | +331% |
| Warbling Vireo | Vireonidae | +778% |
| Red-breasted Nuthatch | Sittidae | +801% |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.