Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Hermit Thrush Population Trend in Alaska
Hermit Thrush in Alaska has surged: up 155% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
+155%Since 1972
107Routes In State
51Years
Notable Hermit Thrush Trends in Alaska
long arc increasecomputed index
Hermit Thrush has surged in Alaska: up 155% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
Hermit Thrush Population Forecast in Alaska
If the recent trend holds, Hermit Thrush in Alaska is projected to rise about 23% by 2029 — from 16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 20 (95% range 11–29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+23%Change by 2029
20Projected 2029 index
11–2995% range
±39.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | 10 | 28 |
| 2026 | 19 | 11 | 28 |
| 2027 | 20 | 11 | 28 |
| 2028 | 20 | 11 | 29 |
| 2029 | 20 | 11 | 29 |
Hermit Thrush Survey Routes in Alaska
| Yakutat (Short) | 111 | 1984 | 1984 |
| Yakutat | 81 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Kodiak 2 | 81 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Copper River | 79 | 2011 | 1993 |
| Harlequin L. | 76 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Chichagof Is | 74 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Chiniak | 72 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Thompson Pas | 69 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Cordova | 63 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Hoonah | 63 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Thorne Bay | 60 | 2012 | 1989 |
| Hope | 60 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Petersburg | 59 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Thorne Bay 2 | 58 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Seward | 53 | 1992 | 1982 |
| Mitkof Isle | 50 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Kodiak | 48 | 1984 | 1983 |
| Whale Pass | 45 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Sheep Mtn | 37 | 2017 | 1983 |
| Zarembo | 36 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Craig | 35 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Homer | 33 | 1982 | 1977 |
| Haines | 33 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Matanuska | 33 | 1983 | 1982 |
| Zimovia Strt | 33 | 2024 | 1988 |
Hermit Thrush Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.