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Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Hermit Thrush Population Trend in Minnesota

All statesForest birds

Hermit Thrush in Minnesota has risen sharply: up 63% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+63%Since 1969
41Routes In State
57Years

Notable Hermit Thrush Trends in Minnesota

long arc increasecomputed index

Hermit Thrush has risen sharply in Minnesota: up 63% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Hermit Thrush Population Forecast in Minnesota

If the recent trend holds, Hermit Thrush in Minnesota is projected to rise about 47% by 2029 — from 2.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.0 (95% range 1.9–4.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40.8%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+47%Change by 2029
3.0Projected 2029 index
1.9–4.295% range
±40.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.01.84.1
20263.01.84.1
20273.01.94.1
20283.01.94.2
20293.01.94.2

Hermit Thrush Survey Routes in Minnesota

Routes recording Hermit Thrush in Minnesota.
Nett Lake2620242013
Jordan1620231993
Sawbill Lndg1520241973
Chisholm1220242019
Hart Lake1120241967
Sherry Lake1120221969
Babbitt1120231994
Blackduck1120222004
Crane Lake1020241969
Red Lake820241993
Waskish720241978
Sawbill Camp620241993
Cromwell520231967
Lockport420241967
Floodwood420241967
Glendale420241993
Backus320171972
Cass Lake220161980
Hovland220231977
Island Lake220171967
Bemidji219801967
Debs220241969
Bigfork220241993
Tamarac Nwr120051991
Millville120102010

Hermit Thrush Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutidahomainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganmontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.