BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Hermit Thrush Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesForest birds

Hermit Thrush in New Mexico has surged: up 771% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

+771%Since 1971
22Routes In State
55Years

Notable Hermit Thrush Trends in New Mexico

long arc increasecomputed index

Hermit Thrush has surged in New Mexico: up 771% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Hermit Thrush Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, Hermit Thrush in New Mexico is projected to rise about 21% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.38–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+21%Change by 2029
1.8Projected 2029 index
0.38–3.395% range
±38%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.80.353.3
20261.80.363.3
20271.80.363.3
20281.80.373.3
20291.80.383.3

Hermit Thrush Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording Hermit Thrush in New Mexico.
Angel Fire2620021992
Vallecitos1920241994
Cloudcroft1620241975
Mt. Taylor 21420242014
Reserve1020231993
Angel Fire 2620242005
Cebolla520231973
Emory Pass520241993
Carrizozo420241982
Stinking Lk.419991992
Mt. Taylor420121994
Bluewater Lake320211999
Claunch 2320242001
Capulin219931993
Pinon220161992
Ojo Sarco120241969
Pecos120171978
Claunch120001980
Dulce120242000
Mcgaffey120211995
Gallinas120241992
Vicks Peak120181992

Hermit Thrush Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutidahomainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.