Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Swainson's Thrush Population Trend in Alaska
Swainson's Thrush in Alaska has held roughly steady: down 6% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
-6%Since 1972
109Routes In State
51Years
Notable Swainson's Thrush Trends in Alaska
No notable trend signals for Swainson's Thrush in Alaska. See the full index history below.
Swainson's Thrush Population Forecast in Alaska
If the recent trend holds, Swainson's Thrush in Alaska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 39 (95% range 18–59). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-2%Change by 2029
39Projected 2029 index
18–5995% range
±15.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
| 2026 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
| 2027 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
| 2028 | 38 | 18 | 59 |
| 2029 | 39 | 18 | 59 |
Swainson's Thrush Survey Routes in Alaska
| Chena River | 159 | 1988 | 1988 |
| Delta | 133 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Kenny Lake | 118 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Manley Ht Sp | 116 | 2022 | 1993 |
| Moose Creek | 114 | 2022 | 1993 |
| Mccarthy Rd2 | 113 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Kanuti Lake | 113 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Chistochina | 108 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Chena Hot Spring 2 | 107 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Ft. Richrdsn | 102 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Sourdough | 99 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Burma Road | 99 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Kanuti Canyn | 98 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Kuskulana | 97 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Mud River | 85 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Livengood | 82 | 2021 | 2006 |
| Nicholai Sl | 80 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Craig | 77 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Ruby | 76 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Tower Bluffs | 74 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Hather Creek | 74 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Tatalina | 73 | 2019 | 1995 |
| Circle | 66 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Hoonah | 64 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Mcgrath | 64 | 2022 | 1997 |
Swainson's Thrush Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.