Species · Colorado · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Swainson's Thrush Population Trend in Colorado
Swainson's Thrush in Colorado has surged: up 200% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
+200%Since 1974
49Routes In State
51Years
Notable Swainson's Thrush Trends in Colorado
long arc increasecomputed index
Swainson's Thrush has surged in Colorado: up 200% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
Swainson's Thrush Population Forecast in Colorado
If the recent trend holds, Swainson's Thrush in Colorado is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.40 (95% range 0.07–0.73). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+9%Change by 2029
0.40Projected 2029 index
0.07–0.7395% range
±26.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.39 | 0.06 | 0.72 |
| 2026 | 0.40 | 0.07 | 0.73 |
| 2027 | 0.40 | 0.07 | 0.73 |
| 2028 | 0.40 | 0.07 | 0.73 |
| 2029 | 0.40 | 0.07 | 0.73 |
Swainson's Thrush Survey Routes in Colorado
| Aspen | 9 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Yampa | 6 | 2023 | 1975 |
| Parlin | 5 | 2022 | 1974 |
| Stillwater Pass 2 | 5 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Dunckley Pas | 5 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Rifle Falls | 5 | 2021 | 1998 |
| Harmony | 4 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Steamboat L. | 3 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Comanche Pk | 3 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Como | 3 | 2021 | 1994 |
| Deadman Rd. | 3 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Lost Lake | 2 | 2022 | 1990 |
| Doyleville | 2 | 2021 | 1998 |
| Buffalo Park | 2 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Flattops | 2 | 2019 | 1992 |
| Guanella Pas | 2 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Pinon | 2 | 1995 | 1994 |
| Nucla | 2 | 1999 | 1999 |
| Lizard Head Pass | 2 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Lake City 2 | 2 | 2021 | 2018 |
| Douglas Pass | 1 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Buford | 1 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Cheesman Lk | 1 | 2000 | 2000 |
| Abarr | 1 | 1970 | 1970 |
| Delta | 1 | 1974 | 1973 |
Swainson's Thrush Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.