Species · Vermont · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Hairy Woodpecker Population Trend in Vermont
Hairy Woodpecker in Vermont has surged: up 91% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+91%Since 1968
26Routes In State
58Years
Notable Hairy Woodpecker Trends in Vermont
long arc increasecomputed index
Hairy Woodpecker has surged in Vermont: up 91% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Hairy Woodpecker Population Forecast in Vermont
If the recent trend holds, Hairy Woodpecker in Vermont is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 1.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.3 (95% range 0.34–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-22%Change by 2029
1.3Projected 2029 index
0.34–2.395% range
±33.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.3 | 0.34 | 2.4 |
| 2026 | 1.3 | 0.34 | 2.3 |
| 2027 | 1.3 | 0.34 | 2.3 |
| 2028 | 1.3 | 0.34 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 1.3 | 0.34 | 2.3 |
Hairy Woodpecker Survey Routes in Vermont
| Hardwick | 5 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Stratton | 4 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Fletcher | 4 | 2024 | 1968 |
| S Wallingfrd | 3 | 2017 | 1967 |
| Middlesex | 3 | 2024 | 1969 |
| East Calais | 3 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Greensboro | 3 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Colchester | 3 | 2022 | 1991 |
| Newbury 2 | 3 | 2023 | 2008 |
| Marlboro | 2 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Landgrove | 2 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Gaysville | 2 | 2019 | 1966 |
| W Rutland | 2 | 2024 | 1967 |
| St Johnsbury | 2 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Northfld Fls | 2 | 2021 | 1986 |
| Stowe | 2 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Bristol | 2 | 2017 | 1995 |
| North Pownal | 1 | 2018 | 1966 |
| S Reading | 1 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Post Mills | 1 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Shaftsbury | 1 | 2023 | 1968 |
| East Haven | 1 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Newbury | 1 | 2002 | 1986 |
| Waterville | 1 | 1980 | 1970 |
| Hinesburg | 1 | 1993 | 1966 |
Hairy Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.