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Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Hairy Woodpecker Population Trend in Florida

All statesForest birds

Hairy Woodpecker in Florida has edged down: down 23% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-23%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
54Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
49YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Hairy Woodpecker Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Hairy Woodpecker in Florida. See the full index history below.

Hairy Woodpecker Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Hairy Woodpecker in Florida is projected to fall about 80% by 2029 — from 0.12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±46%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-80%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.02Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±46%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Hairy Woodpecker in Florida is projected to fall about 80% by 2029 — from 0.12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±46%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.030.000.11
20260.030.000.11
20270.030.000.11
20280.030.000.11
20290.020.000.11

Hairy Woodpecker Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Hairy Woodpecker in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
St Lucie619951995
Osceola220241999
Micanopy219661966
Polk City219751975
Childs220112000
Olustee219991999
Kenansville219981982
Indiantown220001975
Deanville219961995
Arbuckle220071995
Webb220241990
Oak Grove119921969
Mossy Head120111971
Blountstown119951993
Apalachicola120001987
Miccosukee119881973
Seminole Hls119941968
Telogia119701970
Port St Joe119691969
Covington119821979
Belmont120041973
Romeo120181990
Ft Gadsden120181973
Ocala120001987
Myakka Head119701966

Hairy Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.