BirdAnalyst
Species · Tennessee · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Hairy Woodpecker Population Trend in Tennessee

All statesForest birds

Hairy Woodpecker in Tennessee has surged: up 163% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+163%Since 1968
53Routes In State
58Years

Notable Hairy Woodpecker Trends in Tennessee

long arc increasecomputed index

Hairy Woodpecker has surged in Tennessee: up 163% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Hairy Woodpecker Population Forecast in Tennessee

If the recent trend holds, Hairy Woodpecker in Tennessee is projected to fall about 25% by 2029 — from 1.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.79 (95% range 0.51–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-25%Change by 2029
0.79Projected 2029 index
0.51–1.195% range
±15.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.750.471.0
20260.760.481.0
20270.770.491.1
20280.780.501.1
20290.790.511.1

Hairy Woodpecker Survey Routes in Tennessee

Routes recording Hairy Woodpecker in Tennessee.
Peytonsville520241966
Fish Springs520231966
Mansfield420241966
Collinwood420241968
Sweetlips320191989
Oliver Spgs320181970
Indian Mound 2320182004
Signal Mtn220241984
Tiptonville220221969
Humboldt220241968
Silver Pt220231984
Glen220241971
Soddy219791973
Lovell220191977
Harbuck220231994
Tellico220161999
Pawpaw120011969
Moscow119861968
Brownsville120171969
Tibbs120051966
Whiteville120081966
Big Sandy120241966
Silerton120241966
Trenton120231967
Pond Creek120151966

Hairy Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.