Species · California · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Hairy Woodpecker Population Trend in California
Hairy Woodpecker in California has surged: up 134% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+134%Since 1970
169Routes In State
56Years
Notable Hairy Woodpecker Trends in California
long arc increasecomputed index
Hairy Woodpecker has surged in California: up 134% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Hairy Woodpecker Population Forecast in California
If the recent trend holds, Hairy Woodpecker in California is projected to rise about 11% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 1.1–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+11%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
1.1–1.995% range
±28.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| 2026 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| 2027 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| 2028 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| 2029 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.9 |
Hairy Woodpecker Survey Routes in California
| Shasta Lake | 17 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Fairfax | 16 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Chilcoot | 13 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Fish Rock | 11 | 2014 | 1969 |
| Pollock Pines | 11 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Genesee | 10 | 2024 | 1972 |
| South Fork Mtn | 9 | 2022 | 2000 |
| Chester | 8 | 2016 | 1997 |
| Crowder Flat | 7 | 2019 | 2003 |
| Offield Mtn | 6 | 2014 | 1973 |
| Forest Hill | 6 | 2022 | 1999 |
| Stonyford | 6 | 2018 | 2015 |
| Westville | 5 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Redwood N.P. 2 | 5 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Riverton | 5 | 2023 | 1973 |
| Bartle | 5 | 2021 | 1972 |
| Hat Creek | 5 | 2018 | 1974 |
| Lakeshore | 5 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Ship Mtn. | 5 | 2016 | 1994 |
| Hackamore | 5 | 2007 | 2000 |
| Tionesta | 5 | 2021 | 1997 |
| Friday Ridge | 5 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Eagle Lake | 4 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Point Reyes | 4 | 2023 | 1970 |
| Navarro | 4 | 2011 | 1976 |
Hairy Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.