Species · Delaware · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in Delaware
Eastern Bluebird in Delaware has surged: up 24× on the route-weighted index since 1969.
24×Since 1969
15Routes In State
53Years
Notable Eastern Bluebird Trends in Delaware
long arc increasecomputed index
Eastern Bluebird has surged in Delaware: up 24× on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Eastern Bluebird Population Forecast in Delaware
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Bluebird in Delaware is projected to fall about 23% by 2029 — from 10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.8 (95% range 5.1–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.8%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-23%Change by 2029
7.8Projected 2029 index
5.1–1195% range
±31.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 9.9 |
| 2026 | 7.4 | 4.7 | 10 |
| 2027 | 7.5 | 4.9 | 10 |
| 2028 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 10 |
| 2029 | 7.8 | 5.1 | 11 |
Eastern Bluebird Survey Routes in Delaware
| Frederica | 15 | 2014 | 1966 |
| Georgetown | 15 | 2022 | 1992 |
| Millsboro | 14 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Harrington | 10 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Holleyville 2 | 10 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Pepperbox 2 | 10 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Mt Pleasant | 9 | 2019 | 1969 |
| Holleyville | 9 | 2004 | 1966 |
| Frankford | 8 | 2012 | 1968 |
| Blackbird | 7 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Milton 2 | 7 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Wilmington | 4 | 2014 | 1991 |
| Pepperbox | 3 | 2016 | 1998 |
| Lowes Xrds | 1 | 1985 | 1966 |
| Milton | 1 | 2016 | 1994 |
Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.