Species · Pennsylvania · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in Pennsylvania
Eastern Bluebird in Pennsylvania has surged: up 263% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+263%Since 1968
135Routes In State
58Years
Notable Eastern Bluebird Trends in Pennsylvania
long arc increasecomputed index
Eastern Bluebird has surged in Pennsylvania: up 263% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Eastern Bluebird Population Forecast in Pennsylvania
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Bluebird in Pennsylvania is projected to rise about 11% by 2029 — from 4.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.1 (95% range 3.8–6.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+11%Change by 2029
5.1Projected 2029 index
3.8–6.495% range
±21.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 6.2 |
| 2026 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 6.2 |
| 2027 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 6.3 |
| 2028 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 6.4 |
| 2029 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 6.4 |
Eastern Bluebird Survey Routes in Pennsylvania
| Ryde | 23 | 2005 | 1970 |
| Middletown | 15 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Williamsburg | 14 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Naginey | 14 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Jefferson | 14 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Brick Tavern | 14 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Espyville | 13 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Clover | 12 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Needmore | 12 | 1991 | 1966 |
| Wyalusing | 12 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Harmonsburg | 11 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Doe Run | 11 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Berwick | 11 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Jeannette | 10 | 2023 | 1981 |
| Mount Joy | 10 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Hop Bottom | 9 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Greentown | 9 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Drehersville 2 | 9 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Doylesburg | 8 | 2023 | 2009 |
| Stoneybreak | 8 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Jacobus | 8 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Waller | 7 | 2024 | 1977 |
| Millville | 7 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Bald Eagle | 7 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Clear Spring | 7 | 2024 | 1985 |
Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.