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Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in Kentucky

All statesForest birds

Eastern Bluebird in Kentucky has fallen sharply: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-59%Since 1968
64Routes In State
58Years

Notable Eastern Bluebird Trends in Kentucky

long arc declinecomputed index

Eastern Bluebird has fallen sharply in Kentucky: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Eastern Bluebird Population Forecast in Kentucky

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Bluebird in Kentucky is projected to rise about 10% by 2029 — from 8.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.9 (95% range 1.1–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±90%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+10%Change by 2029
8.9Projected 2029 index
1.1–1795% range
±90%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20259.21.317
20269.21.317
20279.11.217
20289.01.117
20298.91.117

Eastern Bluebird Survey Routes in Kentucky

Routes recording Eastern Bluebird in Kentucky.
Bays Fork2820191999
Staffordsvil2519971996
Levee 22420192007
Iron Bridge2219981966
Paintsville2219951979
Merrimac1920241967
Morganfield1920242022
Gatewood1720191966
Dixie1720191967
Canton1620241967
Keysburg1620241968
Million 21520242006
Kings Mtn1420241966
Cumberlnd Gp1220181966
Mckee1220241967
Levee1119821966
Buena Vista1120171966
Gesling1119731967
Bardwell1020031967
Joy1020231966
Porter1020241966
Lovelacevile920241967
Kehoe 2920242005
Goshen919991966
Hodgenville 2920232008

Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaslouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.