BirdAnalyst
Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in Florida

All statesForest birds

Eastern Bluebird in Florida has increased: up 29% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+29%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
102Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Bluebird Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Bluebird in Florida. See the full index history below.

Eastern Bluebird Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Bluebird in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 6.3 (95% range 3.3–9.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-8%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
6.3Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.3–9.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±9.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Bluebird in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 6.3 (95% range 3.3–9.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20256.03.09.0
20266.13.19.1
20276.23.29.2
20286.23.29.2
20296.33.39.3

Eastern Bluebird Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Eastern Bluebird in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Lovedale6920111990
Romeo3020241966
Betts2820241987
Chassahowitz2320241997
Dowling Park2220231987
Laurel Hill1920242010
Osceola1920241991
Defuniak Spr1820221987
Nobleton1820241987
Mt. Olive1820242002
Callahan1720241987
Goethe1720242010
San Antonio1620241967
Seminole Hills 21420222002
Croom1320241987
Corbett1320222006
Hilliard1220241966
Bristol1220231986
New Hope1120112009
Hildreth 21120242010
Webb1120241990
Oak Grove1020161967
Blountstown1020241966
Miller Xrds1020191987
Broad Branch920241967

Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.