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Species · Florida · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in Florida

All statesForest birds

Eastern Bluebird in Florida has increased: up 37% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+37%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
102Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Bluebird Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Bluebird in Florida. See the full index history below.

Eastern Bluebird Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Bluebird in Florida is projected to fall about 13% by 2030 — from 7.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 6.5 (95% range 3.5–9.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-13%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
6.5Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.5–9.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±13.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Bluebird in Florida is projected to fall about 13% by 2030 — from 7.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 6.5 (95% range 3.5–9.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20266.23.29.2
20276.33.39.2
20286.33.49.3
20296.43.49.4
20306.53.59.5

Eastern Bluebird Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Eastern Bluebird in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Lovedale6920111990
Romeo3820251966
Laurel Hill2820252010
Hilliard2620251966
Betts2420251987
Broad Branch2020251967
Defuniak Spr1820221987
Goethe1820252010
Chassahowitz1820251997
Callahan1720241987
Mt. Olive1720252002
Miccosukee1620251966
Blountstown1520251966
Seminole Hills 21420222002
Bloxham1320251987
Pinetta1320251987
Corbett1320222006
Blackwater1220251987
Nobleton1220251987
Bristol1220231986
Olustee1220251992
New Hope1120112009
Oak Grove1020161967
Miller Xrds1020191987
Oak Grove 21020252017

Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.