Species · New Jersey · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in New Jersey
Eastern Bluebird in New Jersey has surged: up 615% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+615%Since 1968
36Routes In State
53Years
Notable Eastern Bluebird Trends in New Jersey
long arc increasecomputed index
Eastern Bluebird has surged in New Jersey: up 615% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Eastern Bluebird Population Forecast in New Jersey
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Bluebird in New Jersey is projected to fall about 33% by 2029 — from 4.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 1.6–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-33%Change by 2029
2.7Projected 2029 index
1.6–3.895% range
±36%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 3.6 |
| 2026 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 3.7 |
| 2027 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 3.7 |
| 2028 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 3.8 |
| 2029 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 3.8 |
Eastern Bluebird Survey Routes in New Jersey
| Greenwich | 9 | 2024 | 1988 |
| High Point | 9 | 2024 | 1977 |
| Ramseysburg | 9 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Dover | 7 | 2022 | 1994 |
| Pottersville | 7 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Cape May Ch | 7 | 2013 | 1993 |
| Croton 2 | 7 | 2024 | 2008 |
| Woodbury Hgt | 6 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Pomona | 6 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Friendship | 5 | 2024 | 1977 |
| Pedricktown 2 | 5 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Spraguetown 3 | 5 | 2024 | 2023 |
| Hope | 4 | 1993 | 1988 |
| Winslow | 4 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Sandbrook | 3 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Croton | 3 | 2007 | 1982 |
| Gillette | 3 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Six Points | 2 | 2023 | 1996 |
| Del Haven | 2 | 1991 | 1991 |
| Toms River | 2 | 2024 | 1966 |
| New Bedford | 2 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Kemah Lake | 2 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Keyport | 2 | 2017 | 2008 |
| Cranbury | 2 | 2023 | 2001 |
| Estell Manor | 2 | 2022 | 2022 |
Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.