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Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in North Carolina

All statesForest birds

Eastern Bluebird in North Carolina has surged: up 413% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+413%Since 1968
108Routes In State
58Years

Notable Eastern Bluebird Trends in North Carolina

long arc increasecomputed index

Eastern Bluebird has surged in North Carolina: up 413% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Eastern Bluebird Population Forecast in North Carolina

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Bluebird in North Carolina is projected to rise about 30% by 2029 — from 14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 18 (95% range 13–22). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+30%Change by 2029
18Projected 2029 index
13–2295% range
±18.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025171221
2026171222
2027171222
2028171222
2029181322

Eastern Bluebird Survey Routes in North Carolina

Routes recording Eastern Bluebird in North Carolina.
Climax3620241966
Eden3320241987
Jamesville3120241983
Monticello3020241990
Jackson3020171995
Wards Corner2920241982
Call2820241968
Sawmill2720241990
Montague2720241990
Wilgrove2720241995
Dudley2720242002
Oakboro2620241969
South. Pines2519961995
Durham2520241990
Congleton2420242001
Copeland2320241968
Rowland2320241990
Fairview2320241991
Goldston2320222001
Cypress Cr2220221990
Sheffield2220241991
Hulls Xroads2220231997
Bullock2220241997
Siloam2220242005
Osmond2120242001

Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.