Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in New York

Eastern Bluebird in New York has surged: up 285% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+285%Since 1968
124Routes In State
58Years

Notable Eastern Bluebird Trends in New York

long arc increasecomputed index

Eastern Bluebird has surged in New York: up 285% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Eastern Bluebird Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Bluebird in New York is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 3.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.9 (95% range 2.1–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.8%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-15%Change by 2029
2.9Projected 2029 index
2.13.695% range
±23.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.71.93.5
20262.72.03.5
20272.82.03.5
20282.82.13.6
20292.92.13.6

Eastern Bluebird Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording Eastern Bluebird in New York.
Macdougall1820241976
Orleans1520241970
E Youngstown1320231989
Ogdensburg920241990
Branchport820241970
Sheridan820241966
Nashville820181967
Naples820241966
Churchville720241986
Salem720231967
Gainesville620231970
Castile620241986
North Easton620241967
Mt Hope520101968
Ghent520241971
Vestal Ctr520191966
East Java520231968
N Victory 2520181988
Kasoag520241966
N Wilmurt519981968
Willsboro520241971
Bedford419911976
Rhinebeck420241968
Westbrookvle420191966
Duanesburg420241966

Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.