Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in New York
Eastern Bluebird in New York has surged: up 285% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+285%Since 1968
124Routes In State
58Years
Notable Eastern Bluebird Trends in New York
long arc increasecomputed index
Eastern Bluebird has surged in New York: up 285% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Eastern Bluebird Population Forecast in New York
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Bluebird in New York is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 3.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.9 (95% range 2.1–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.8%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-15%Change by 2029
2.9Projected 2029 index
2.1–3.695% range
±23.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 3.5 |
| 2026 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 3.5 |
| 2027 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 3.5 |
| 2028 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 3.6 |
| 2029 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 3.6 |
Eastern Bluebird Survey Routes in New York
| Macdougall | 18 | 2024 | 1976 |
| Orleans | 15 | 2024 | 1970 |
| E Youngstown | 13 | 2023 | 1989 |
| Ogdensburg | 9 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Branchport | 8 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Sheridan | 8 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Nashville | 8 | 2018 | 1967 |
| Naples | 8 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Churchville | 7 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Salem | 7 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Gainesville | 6 | 2023 | 1970 |
| Castile | 6 | 2024 | 1986 |
| North Easton | 6 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Mt Hope | 5 | 2010 | 1968 |
| Ghent | 5 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Vestal Ctr | 5 | 2019 | 1966 |
| East Java | 5 | 2023 | 1968 |
| N Victory 2 | 5 | 2018 | 1988 |
| Kasoag | 5 | 2024 | 1966 |
| N Wilmurt | 5 | 1998 | 1968 |
| Willsboro | 5 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Bedford | 4 | 1991 | 1976 |
| Rhinebeck | 4 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Westbrookvle | 4 | 2019 | 1966 |
| Duanesburg | 4 | 2024 | 1966 |
Eastern Bluebird Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.