BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Black Vulture Population Trend in Georgia

All statesBirds of prey

Black Vulture in Georgia has surged: up 137% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+137%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
110Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Black Vulture Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Black Vulture has surged in Georgia: up 137% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Black Vulture Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Black Vulture in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 5.9 (95% range 3.5–8.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-5%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.9Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.5–8.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±23%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Black Vulture in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 5.9 (95% range 3.5–8.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20265.63.28.0
20275.73.38.1
20285.83.38.2
20295.93.48.3
20305.93.58.4

Black Vulture Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Black Vulture in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Stoney Point 28820252013
Lincolnton 26020252018
Stoney Point4520072007
Pineora 23320242024
Newton3220251975
Folkston2320221994
Tarver2320251991
Philema2320252011
Doles2020191992
Hebron1920222006
Lincolnton1820171967
Vidalia1820251995
Hollonville1719971976
Grovetown1420211976
Yates Crossroads1320252005
Woodbine1220242011
Henderson1120251982
Colonels Island1120232005
Ousley1020252015
Lakeview1020222006
Cuthbert920251967
Maxeys920241967
Washington820251978
Deepstep720231975
Wadley720251979

Black Vulture Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridaillinoisindianakentuckylouisianamarylandmassachusettsmississippimissourinew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginia

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.