BirdAnalyst
Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black Vulture Population Trend in Missouri

All statesGeneralists

Black Vulture in Missouri has surged: up 401% on the route-weighted index since 2004.

+401%Since 2004
17Routes In State
19Years

Notable Black Vulture Trends in Missouri

long arc increasecomputed index

Black Vulture has surged in Missouri: up 401% on the route-weighted index since 2004.

Black Vulture Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Black Vulture in Missouri is projected to rise about 57% by 2029 — from 0.19 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.30 (95% range 0.00–0.68). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61.8%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+57%Change by 2029
0.30Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.6895% range
±61.8%Backtest error
19842029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.270.000.64
20260.280.000.65
20270.290.000.66
20280.290.000.67
20290.300.000.68

Black Vulture Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Black Vulture in Missouri.
West Plains720232018
Mincy620242016
Cassville520242010
Bennett320232019
Crane320122004
Pulaski220232004
Sweden220232013
Pineville220232000
Cp Girardeau220222021
Rueter 2220242023
Akers220152012
Handley219841984
Reeds220162016
Palace220232017
Whitewater220212017
Peace Valley120082008
Barks120152015

Black Vulture Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianakentuckylouisianamarylandmassachusettsmississippinew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginia

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.