BirdAnalyst
Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black Vulture Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesGeneralists

Black Vulture in Arkansas has edged down: down 11% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-11%Since 1969
41Routes In State
56Years

Notable Black Vulture Trends in Arkansas

No notable trend signals for Black Vulture in Arkansas. See the full index history below.

Black Vulture Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Black Vulture in Arkansas is projected to rise about 171% by 2029 — from 0.57 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.21–2.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±66.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+171%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
0.21–2.995% range
±66.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.50.122.8
20261.50.142.8
20271.50.172.8
20281.50.192.9
20291.50.212.9

Black Vulture Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Black Vulture in Arkansas.
Farwell4920182010
Eudora4619671967
Ramsey1019961969
Hatfield 21020192019
Old Milo820141993
Yellville820222010
Lockesburg820192013
Coal Hill720221989
Nance620242005
Stamps520241972
Russell520212015
Locust Bayou320231969
Massard320211969
Springhill320222010
Ashdown220231992
Magazine Mtn220182006
Saffell220181971
Fulton220221991
Avoca220142014
Marshall220152015
Havana220212011
Stephens220242010
Princeton220211998
Poyen 2220132009
Hope120241968

Black Vulture Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianakentuckylouisianamarylandmassachusettsmississippimissourinew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginia

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.