Species · Ohio · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black Vulture Population Trend in Ohio
Black Vulture in Ohio has surged: up 14× on the route-weighted index since 1979.
14×Since 1979
22Routes In State
33Years
Notable Black Vulture Trends in Ohio
long arc increasecomputed index
Black Vulture has surged in Ohio: up 14× on the route-weighted index since 1979.
Black Vulture Population Forecast in Ohio
If the recent trend holds, Black Vulture in Ohio is projected to fall about 57% by 2029 — from 0.82 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.35 (95% range 0.05–0.66). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±59%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-57%Change by 2029
0.35Projected 2029 index
0.05–0.6695% range
±59%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.32 | 0.01 | 0.63 |
| 2026 | 0.33 | 0.02 | 0.63 |
| 2027 | 0.34 | 0.03 | 0.64 |
| 2028 | 0.34 | 0.04 | 0.65 |
| 2029 | 0.35 | 0.05 | 0.66 |
Black Vulture Survey Routes in Ohio
| Mohican S.F. | 9 | 2022 | 2014 |
| Cuba | 9 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Bolins Mills | 6 | 2024 | 2021 |
| Omega | 5 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Pittsfield | 4 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Enon | 3 | 2024 | 2016 |
| Dresden | 3 | 2019 | 1971 |
| Hebron | 2 | 2016 | 2009 |
| Pomeroy | 2 | 2021 | 2019 |
| Valley City | 2 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Stonecreek | 1 | 2023 | 2012 |
| Birmingham | 1 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Harveysburg 2 | 1 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Marion | 1 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Lattasburg | 1 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Fulton | 1 | 2024 | 2021 |
| Meadowbrook | 1 | 1979 | 1966 |
| Smithfield | 1 | 2012 | 2012 |
| Darrtown | 1 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Ray | 1 | 2018 | 1998 |
| Ash Ridge | 1 | 2017 | 1992 |
| Rome | 1 | 2024 | 1971 |
Black Vulture Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.