BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black Vulture Population Trend in Texas

All statesGeneralists

Black Vulture in Texas has surged: up 11× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

11×Since 1969
172Routes In State
57Years

Notable Black Vulture Trends in Texas

long arc increasecomputed index

Black Vulture has surged in Texas: up 11× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Black Vulture Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Black Vulture in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 8.4 (95% range 7.0–9.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±5.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+4%Change by 2029
8.4Projected 2029 index
7.0–9.895% range
±5.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20257.86.49.2
20268.06.69.3
20278.16.79.5
20288.26.99.6
20298.47.09.8

Black Vulture Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Black Vulture in Texas.
Paige10220242015
Mcfaddin7820162006
Manor7420242012
Goliad Prairie7220162004
Encinal7020091974
Moon Lake 26120242012
Oakwood5319951967
Millett 25220242013
Bayside 35220242005
Schroeder4219971967
Rock Island4220241970
Oak Grove 24220242003
Indianola3320241984
Adamsville3320241976
Whit Mtn.3220191994
Lockhart3120241967
Selden3120241974
Ola2920241973
Duran2919991995
Lone Oak2820221971
Encinal 22520242011
Utopia2420241969
Dilley2420242018
New Waverly2320241973
Dallas2220242012

Black Vulture Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianakentuckylouisianamarylandmassachusettsmississippimissourinew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinatennesseevermontvirginiawest-virginia

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.