Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black Vulture Population Trend in Mississippi
Black Vulture in Mississippi has increased: up 48% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+48%Since 1968
64Routes In State
58Years
Notable Black Vulture Trends in Mississippi
No notable trend signals for Black Vulture in Mississippi. See the full index history below.
Black Vulture Population Forecast in Mississippi
If the recent trend holds, Black Vulture in Mississippi is projected to rise about 103% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.6 (95% range 1.1–6.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+103%Change by 2029
3.6Projected 2029 index
1.1–6.295% range
±41.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.5 | 0.99 | 6.0 |
| 2026 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 6.1 |
| 2027 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 6.1 |
| 2028 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 6.1 |
| 2029 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 6.2 |
Black Vulture Survey Routes in Mississippi
| Mt Carmel | 28 | 2016 | 1991 |
| Lake Mary | 22 | 1977 | 1974 |
| Poplarville | 20 | 1978 | 1972 |
| Monticello | 18 | 2008 | 2007 |
| Leaf River | 16 | 2013 | 2008 |
| Weir | 16 | 2023 | 2008 |
| Panther Swamp Nwr | 14 | 2018 | 2017 |
| Eagle Lake | 12 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Olive Branch 2 | 12 | 2022 | 2016 |
| Trace Madison | 11 | 2016 | 2015 |
| Fort Adams | 11 | 2022 | 1975 |
| Fayette | 9 | 2008 | 1966 |
| Cybur | 9 | 2019 | 1972 |
| Trace Central | 9 | 2021 | 2007 |
| Grenada Lake | 8 | 2018 | 2016 |
| Embry | 7 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Lake Como | 6 | 2021 | 1983 |
| Tchula 3 | 6 | 2023 | 2017 |
| Trace Lorman | 6 | 2019 | 2016 |
| Trace Attala | 6 | 2017 | 2016 |
| Walthall | 5 | 1979 | 1970 |
| Holly Springs | 5 | 2024 | 2009 |
| Okatibbee L. | 5 | 2005 | 1996 |
| Delta N.F. | 5 | 2008 | 2004 |
| Oak Ridge Vick | 5 | 2021 | 2016 |
Black Vulture Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.