Species · South Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black Vulture Population Trend in South Carolina
Black Vulture in South Carolina has surged: up 340% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+340%Since 1968
43Routes In State
55Years
Notable Black Vulture Trends in South Carolina
long arc increasecomputed index
Black Vulture has surged in South Carolina: up 340% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Black Vulture Population Forecast in South Carolina
If the recent trend holds, Black Vulture in South Carolina is projected to rise about 21% by 2029 — from 3.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.2 (95% range 1.4–7.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+21%Change by 2029
4.2Projected 2029 index
1.4–7.095% range
±19.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 6.7 |
| 2026 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 6.8 |
| 2027 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 6.9 |
| 2028 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 6.9 |
| 2029 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 7.0 |
Black Vulture Survey Routes in South Carolina
| Dale | 31 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Blacksburg | 18 | 2013 | 1999 |
| Pinewood | 18 | 2017 | 2000 |
| Walterboro | 16 | 2017 | 1970 |
| Owings 2 | 16 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Rome | 13 | 2023 | 1990 |
| Olar | 8 | 2019 | 1998 |
| Hardeeville | 6 | 2024 | 1967 |
| New Ellenton | 6 | 2022 | 2018 |
| Ridgeway | 6 | 2013 | 2010 |
| Salem | 6 | 2023 | 2014 |
| Holly Hill | 5 | 2022 | 1972 |
| New Holland | 5 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Coward | 4 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Wagener | 4 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Boykin Ml Pd | 4 | 1967 | 1966 |
| Greenwood | 4 | 2019 | 1999 |
| Barton Creek | 3 | 2022 | 1975 |
| Bennettsville | 3 | 2017 | 2000 |
| Jamestown | 2 | 2015 | 1968 |
| Foreston | 2 | 2021 | 1971 |
| Dillon | 2 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Little Mtn | 2 | 1979 | 1967 |
| Owings | 2 | 2004 | 1999 |
| Plum Branch | 2 | 2023 | 1983 |
Black Vulture Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.