Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-shouldered Hawk Population Trend in Missouri
Red-shouldered Hawk in Missouri has surged: up 25× on the route-weighted index since 1977.
25×Since 1977
77Routes In State
46Years
Notable Red-shouldered Hawk Trends in Missouri
long arc increasecomputed index
Red-shouldered Hawk has surged in Missouri: up 25× on the route-weighted index since 1977.
Red-shouldered Hawk Population Forecast in Missouri
If the recent trend holds, Red-shouldered Hawk in Missouri is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 1.0–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.1%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-15%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
1.0–1.995% range
±31.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.4 | 0.92 | 1.8 |
| 2026 | 1.4 | 0.95 | 1.8 |
| 2027 | 1.4 | 0.98 | 1.9 |
| 2028 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| 2029 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
Red-shouldered Hawk Survey Routes in Missouri
| Mincy | 9 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Rueter 2 | 9 | 2024 | 2023 |
| Richland | 8 | 2021 | 2014 |
| Whitewater | 7 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Graniteville | 7 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Cascade | 6 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Moselle | 6 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Wesco | 5 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Syracuse | 5 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Kearney | 5 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Union | 5 | 1999 | 1992 |
| Peace Valley | 4 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Sweden | 4 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Warren | 4 | 1976 | 1976 |
| Queen City | 4 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Woodlandville | 4 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Auburn | 4 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Cassville | 3 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Kirksville | 3 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Emden | 3 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Lincoln | 3 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Pulaski | 2 | 2024 | 1976 |
| Graydon | 2 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Reeds | 2 | 2022 | 2005 |
| Centertown | 2 | 2023 | 2009 |
Red-shouldered Hawk Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.