Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-shouldered Hawk Population Trend in Missouri

Red-shouldered Hawk in Missouri has surged: up 25× on the route-weighted index since 1977.

25×Since 1977
77Routes In State
46Years

Notable Red-shouldered Hawk Trends in Missouri

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-shouldered Hawk has surged in Missouri: up 25× on the route-weighted index since 1977.

Red-shouldered Hawk Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Red-shouldered Hawk in Missouri is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 1.0–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.1%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-15%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
1.01.995% range
±31.1%Backtest error
19752029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.40.921.8
20261.40.951.8
20271.40.981.9
20281.51.01.9
20291.51.01.9

Red-shouldered Hawk Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Red-shouldered Hawk in Missouri.
Mincy920242013
Rueter 2920242023
Richland820212014
Whitewater720242000
Graniteville720241991
Cascade620241979
Moselle620242000
Wesco520241990
Syracuse520241990
Kearney520242011
Union519991992
Peace Valley420231995
Sweden420241985
Warren419761976
Queen City420212021
Woodlandville420242019
Auburn420242017
Cassville320241984
Kirksville320172017
Emden320242018
Lincoln320242013
Pulaski220241976
Graydon220242006
Reeds220222005
Centertown220232009

Red-shouldered Hawk Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.