Species · Illinois · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-shouldered Hawk Population Trend in Illinois
Red-shouldered Hawk in Illinois has surged: up 21× on the route-weighted index since 1969.
21×Since 1969
51Routes In State
56Years
Notable Red-shouldered Hawk Trends in Illinois
long arc increasecomputed index
Red-shouldered Hawk has surged in Illinois: up 21× on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Red-shouldered Hawk Population Forecast in Illinois
If the recent trend holds, Red-shouldered Hawk in Illinois is projected to fall about 37% by 2029 — from 0.87 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.55 (95% range 0.15–0.94). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.5%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-37%Change by 2029
0.55Projected 2029 index
0.15–0.9495% range
±54.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.51 | 0.11 | 0.90 |
| 2026 | 0.52 | 0.12 | 0.91 |
| 2027 | 0.53 | 0.13 | 0.92 |
| 2028 | 0.54 | 0.14 | 0.93 |
| 2029 | 0.55 | 0.15 | 0.94 |
Red-shouldered Hawk Survey Routes in Illinois
| Beaverdam Lk | 13 | 2023 | 1970 |
| Delwood | 11 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Mt Vernon | 7 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Belknap | 7 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Royalton | 5 | 2024 | 2008 |
| Birds | 4 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Pulaski | 4 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Robinson | 4 | 2023 | 2021 |
| Marshall | 4 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Dudleyville | 4 | 2024 | 2001 |
| York | 4 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Cave In Rock | 4 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Athens | 2 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Clayton | 2 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Pawnee | 2 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Bradbury | 2 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Martinsville | 2 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Columbia | 2 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Mascoutah Lk | 2 | 2024 | 1991 |
| St Morgan | 2 | 2022 | 1988 |
| Olney | 2 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Bremen | 2 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Kell | 2 | 2024 | 2022 |
| Karnak | 2 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Yale | 2 | 2023 | 1996 |
Red-shouldered Hawk Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.