BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-shouldered Hawk Population Trend in Georgia

All statesGeneralists

Red-shouldered Hawk in Georgia has surged: up 876% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+876%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
110Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-shouldered Hawk Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-shouldered Hawk has surged in Georgia: up 876% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-shouldered Hawk Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Red-shouldered Hawk in Georgia is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 2.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.0 (95% range 2.3–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+13%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.0Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.3–3.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±22.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-shouldered Hawk in Georgia is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 2.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.0 (95% range 2.3–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.82.13.4
20262.82.13.5
20272.92.23.5
20282.92.23.6
20293.02.33.6

Red-shouldered Hawk Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Red-shouldered Hawk in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Mountain Cty820241988
Cotton720241974
Finleyson720241987
Dover720241976
Council720242012
Workmore620191978
Ball Ground620212019
Tarver620241991
Woodbine620242011
Hebron620222005
Amos Mill620222011
Stockton520241977
Everett City520191976
Athens520231994
Rutledge520241978
Wadley520241981
Union520232011
Weber520242013
Rock Branch520242006
Okefenokee419921974
Doles420221975
Pitts420241977
Keller419941975
Boston420241986
Coffee Co420241987

Red-shouldered Hawk Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.