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Species · Georgia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-shouldered Hawk Population Trend in Georgia

All statesBirds of prey

Red-shouldered Hawk in Georgia has surged: up 847% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+847%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
110Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-shouldered Hawk Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-shouldered Hawk has surged in Georgia: up 847% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-shouldered Hawk Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Red-shouldered Hawk in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 3.0 (95% range 2.3–3.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+0%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.0Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.3–3.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±16.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-shouldered Hawk in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 3.0 (95% range 2.3–3.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.82.23.5
20272.92.23.5
20282.92.33.6
20293.02.33.6
20303.02.33.7

Red-shouldered Hawk Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Red-shouldered Hawk in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Council1120252012
Cotton920251974
Nashville820251975
Shiloh820252015
Owensboro720252010
Fitzgerald620251983
Rentz620251979
Tarver620251991
Woodbine620242011
Headlight620252011
Barges620252012
Hebron620222005
Amos Mill620222011
Everett City520191976
Jacksonboro520251967
Wadley520241981
Pitts520251977
Pineora 2520252024
Ousley520252015
Weber520242013
Okefenokee419921974
Courthouse420251973
Henderson420251973
Doles420221975
Bowdon420251973

Red-shouldered Hawk Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.