BirdAnalyst
Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-shouldered Hawk Population Trend in Minnesota

All statesGeneralists

Red-shouldered Hawk in Minnesota has fallen sharply: down 70% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

-70%Since 1975
17Routes In State
27Years

Notable Red-shouldered Hawk Trends in Minnesota

long arc declinecomputed index

Red-shouldered Hawk has fallen sharply in Minnesota: down 70% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

Red-shouldered Hawk Population Forecast in Minnesota

If the recent trend holds, Red-shouldered Hawk in Minnesota is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.05). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028
0.01Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.0595% range
±29.6%Backtest error
19702028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.020.000.05
20250.020.000.05
20260.020.000.05
20270.020.000.05
20280.010.000.05

Red-shouldered Hawk Survey Routes in Minnesota

Routes recording Red-shouldered Hawk in Minnesota.
St Stephen220082008
Money Creek119751975
Brainerd120021993
Ashby120032003
Millville119831983
Tamarac Nwr120031991
Minnetonka120162014
Arlington120062006
Le Center120232023
Princeton120182014
Osseo120192019
Knapp120012001
Cromwell119961996
Wigwam Bay119871970
Backus119801980
Pine River119911973
Edwards120211984

Red-shouldered Hawk Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganmississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.