Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-shouldered Hawk Population Trend in North Carolina
Red-shouldered Hawk in North Carolina has surged: up 17× on the route-weighted index since 1968.
17×Since 1968
101Routes In State
57Years
Notable Red-shouldered Hawk Trends in North Carolina
long arc increasecomputed index
Red-shouldered Hawk has surged in North Carolina: up 17× on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Red-shouldered Hawk Population Forecast in North Carolina
If the recent trend holds, Red-shouldered Hawk in North Carolina is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 2.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 1.5–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-19%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
1.5–2.595% range
±27.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 2026 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 2027 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| 2028 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| 2029 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 |
Red-shouldered Hawk Survey Routes in North Carolina
| Montague | 12 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Wards Corner | 10 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Kinston | 10 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Dudley | 10 | 2024 | 2003 |
| Wilgrove | 7 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Durham | 7 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Goldston | 7 | 2022 | 2004 |
| Youngsville | 6 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Call | 6 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Jordan | 5 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Sawmill | 5 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Genoa | 5 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Jones Corner | 5 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Belgrade | 5 | 2019 | 2002 |
| Sheep Ridge | 5 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Arapahoe | 4 | 1994 | 1993 |
| Saxapahaw | 4 | 2023 | 1973 |
| Climax | 4 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Cypress Cr | 4 | 2022 | 1990 |
| Roseboro | 4 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Pinetops | 4 | 2024 | 2003 |
| Biscoe | 4 | 2017 | 1991 |
| Flay | 4 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Lloyd Xroads | 4 | 2023 | 1990 |
| Gupton | 4 | 2024 | 2001 |
Red-shouldered Hawk Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorkohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.