Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-shouldered Hawk Population Trend in North Carolina

Red-shouldered Hawk in North Carolina has surged: up 17× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

17×Since 1968
101Routes In State
57Years

Notable Red-shouldered Hawk Trends in North Carolina

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-shouldered Hawk has surged in North Carolina: up 17× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-shouldered Hawk Population Forecast in North Carolina

If the recent trend holds, Red-shouldered Hawk in North Carolina is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 2.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 1.5–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-19%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
1.52.595% range
±27.9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.91.42.4
20261.91.42.4
20272.01.52.5
20282.01.52.5
20292.01.52.5

Red-shouldered Hawk Survey Routes in North Carolina

Routes recording Red-shouldered Hawk in North Carolina.
Montague1220241990
Wards Corner1020241970
Kinston1020241984
Dudley1020242003
Wilgrove720241996
Durham720241991
Goldston720222004
Youngsville620241970
Call620242001
Jordan520241974
Sawmill520241997
Genoa520241990
Jones Corner520241994
Belgrade520192002
Sheep Ridge520241994
Arapahoe419941993
Saxapahaw420231973
Climax420241999
Cypress Cr420221990
Roseboro420241996
Pinetops420242003
Biscoe420171991
Flay420231995
Lloyd Xroads420231990
Gupton420242001

Red-shouldered Hawk Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.