Species · Illinois · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Great Blue Heron Population Trend in Illinois
Great Blue Heron in Illinois has surged: up 257% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+257%Since 1968
105Routes In State
58Years
Notable Great Blue Heron Trends in Illinois
long arc increasecomputed index
Great Blue Heron has surged in Illinois: up 257% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Great Blue Heron Population Forecast in Illinois
If the recent trend holds, Great Blue Heron in Illinois is projected to rise about 119% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.1–3.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±92.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+119%Change by 2029
2.4Projected 2029 index
1.1–3.795% range
±92.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 3.6 |
| 2026 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 3.6 |
| 2027 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 3.6 |
| 2028 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 3.7 |
| 2029 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 3.7 |
Great Blue Heron Survey Routes in Illinois
| Gulfport | 6 | 2023 | 1973 |
| Fairbury | 6 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Gridley | 6 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Humboldt | 5 | 2022 | 1991 |
| Columbia | 5 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Beaucoup | 5 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Flora | 5 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Cherry Val 2 | 5 | 2018 | 2004 |
| Wayne | 4 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Melrose | 4 | 1999 | 1973 |
| Concord | 4 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Janesville | 4 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Mascoutah Lk | 4 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Seneca | 4 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Sheffield | 3 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Deer Creek | 3 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Minonk | 3 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Athensville | 3 | 2023 | 1973 |
| Belleview | 3 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Rosamond | 3 | 2021 | 2000 |
| St Morgan | 3 | 2022 | 1994 |
| Bremen | 3 | 2023 | 1970 |
| Shannon | 3 | 2018 | 1993 |
| Camp Point | 3 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Barrington | 2 | 2008 | 1979 |
Great Blue Heron Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.