Species · Michigan · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Great Blue Heron Population Trend in Michigan
Great Blue Heron in Michigan has surged: up 160% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+160%Since 1968
95Routes In State
58Years
Notable Great Blue Heron Trends in Michigan
long arc increasecomputed index
Great Blue Heron has surged in Michigan: up 160% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Great Blue Heron Population Forecast in Michigan
If the recent trend holds, Great Blue Heron in Michigan is projected to rise about 28% by 2029 — from 0.81 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.0 (95% range 0.00–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+28%Change by 2029
1.0Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.195% range
±33.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.0 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2026 | 1.0 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2027 | 1.0 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2028 | 1.0 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2029 | 1.0 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
Great Blue Heron Survey Routes in Michigan
| Drayton Plns | 12 | 1987 | 1973 |
| Mottville | 6 | 2024 | 1968 |
| North Branch | 5 | 1998 | 1974 |
| Irons | 4 | 1989 | 1973 |
| Tyre | 4 | 1995 | 1971 |
| Bell Oak 2 | 4 | 2023 | 2016 |
| Chippewa Lk. | 4 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Bear Lake | 3 | 2022 | 1979 |
| Lawrence | 3 | 2021 | 1969 |
| Nashville | 3 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Monterey | 3 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Remus | 3 | 2021 | 1974 |
| Holt | 3 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Pettysville | 3 | 1979 | 1969 |
| Hamburg | 3 | 2000 | 1985 |
| Richmond | 3 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Herman | 2 | 2015 | 1983 |
| Cunard | 2 | 2014 | 1973 |
| Big Blue Lk | 2 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Gilchrist | 2 | 2016 | 1980 |
| Coopersville | 2 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Belding | 2 | 2003 | 1983 |
| Galesburg | 2 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Howardsville | 2 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Brush Creek | 2 | 1992 | 1975 |
Great Blue Heron Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.