Species · Connecticut · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Great Blue Heron Population Trend in Connecticut
Great Blue Heron in Connecticut has surged: up 768% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
+768%Since 1975
18Routes In State
49Years
Notable Great Blue Heron Trends in Connecticut
long arc increasecomputed index
Great Blue Heron has surged in Connecticut: up 768% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
Great Blue Heron Population Forecast in Connecticut
If the recent trend holds, Great Blue Heron in Connecticut is projected to rise about 103% by 2029 — from 0.56 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.57–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+103%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.57–1.795% range
±37.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.0 | 0.49 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 1.1 | 0.51 | 1.6 |
| 2027 | 1.1 | 0.53 | 1.6 |
| 2028 | 1.1 | 0.55 | 1.7 |
| 2029 | 1.1 | 0.57 | 1.7 |
Great Blue Heron Survey Routes in Connecticut
| Woodstock | 3 | 2007 | 1976 |
| Buckingham | 2 | 2014 | 1993 |
| Uncasville | 2 | 2023 | 1999 |
| Willimantic | 2 | 2014 | 1991 |
| Danbury | 2 | 2023 | 2006 |
| Southington | 2 | 2024 | 2008 |
| Warren 2 | 2 | 2015 | 2012 |
| Mystic | 1 | 2023 | 1973 |
| New Hartford | 1 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Westbrook | 1 | 2024 | 1991 |
| No Woodbury | 1 | 2014 | 1983 |
| Sherman | 1 | 2019 | 1985 |
| Greenwich | 1 | 1983 | 1983 |
| Warren | 1 | 2011 | 1993 |
| Long Hill | 1 | 2019 | 1975 |
| Mid Haddam | 1 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Woodstock 2 | 1 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Granby | 1 | 2023 | 1988 |
Great Blue Heron Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.