BirdAnalyst
Guild · Nevada · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Forest Birds In Nevada

All statesNevada

52 species in this guild. As a group they are -24%Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology → since 1970.

Guild SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for forest birds in Nevada. See the full index history below.

Forest Birds In Nevada Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Forest birds in Nevada is projected to fall about 26% by 2030 — from 0.85 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.62 (95% range 0.00–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-26%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.62Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–4.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±18.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Forest birds in Nevada is projected to fall about 26% by 2030 — from 0.85 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.62 (95% range 0.00–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.740.004.1
20270.710.004.1
20280.680.004.0
20290.650.004.0
20300.620.004.0

Member Species In Nevada

Forest birds species in Nevada.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
Townsend's SolitaireTurdidae-93%
Cassin's FinchFringillidae-84%
Hermit ThrushTurdidae-82%
Mountain ChickadeeParidae-80%
Plumbeous VireoVireonidae-77%
Scott's OrioleIcteridae-72%
Juniper TitmouseParidae-71%
Lewis's WoodpeckerPicidae-70%
Pinyon JayCorvidae-63%
MacGillivray's WarblerParulidae-55%
Broad-tailed HummingbirdTrochilidae-52%
Woodhouse's Scrub-JayCorvidae-48%
Mountain BluebirdTurdidae-45%
White-crowned SparrowPasserellidae-43%
Black-throated Gray WarblerParulidae-39%
Fox SparrowPasserellidae-33%
American GoldfinchFringillidae-30%
Steller's JayCorvidae-30%
Wilson's WarblerParulidae-21%
Marsh WrenTroglodytidae-21%
Ladder-backed WoodpeckerPicidae-20%
Warbling VireoVireonidae-18%
Bell's VireoVireonidae-5%
Northern House WrenTroglodytidae-5%
BushtitAegithalidae+9%
Chipping SparrowPasserellidae+15%
Downy WoodpeckerPicidae+23%
Clark's NutcrackerCorvidae+40%
Costa's HummingbirdTrochilidae+42%
Bullock's OrioleIcteridae+44%
Orange-crowned WarblerParulidae+55%
Spotted TowheePasserellidae+60%
Gray VireoVireonidae+61%
Black-chinned HummingbirdTrochilidae+72%
American RobinTurdidae+90%
Black-headed GrosbeakCardinalidae+106%
Blue GrosbeakCardinalidae+110%
Song SparrowPasserellidae+118%
Virginia's WarblerParulidae+135%
Hairy WoodpeckerPicidae+146%
Green-tailed TowheePasserellidae+187%
Blue-gray GnatcatcherPolioptilidae+202%
Pine SiskinFringillidae+242%
Canyon WrenTroglodytidae+244%
Western TanagerCardinalidae+245%
Common YellowthroatParulidae+245%
Rock WrenTroglodytidae+477%
Yellow-breasted ChatIcteriidae+937%
Lesser GoldfinchFringillidae+980%
Bewick's WrenTroglodytidae13×
Lazuli BuntingCardinalidae18×
Yellow WarblerParulidae20×

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.