Species · Nevada · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Pinyon Jay Population Trend in Nevada
Pinyon Jay in Nevada has fallen sharply: down 64% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-64%Since 1970
25Routes In State
56Years
Notable Pinyon Jay Trends in Nevada
long arc declinecomputed index
Pinyon Jay has fallen sharply in Nevada: down 64% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Pinyon Jay Population Forecast in Nevada
If the recent trend holds, Pinyon Jay in Nevada is projected to fall about 71% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.1 (95% range 0.00–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±116.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-71%Change by 2029
3.1Projected 2029 index
0.00–1695% range
±116.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.6 | 0.00 | 17 |
| 2026 | 3.5 | 0.00 | 17 |
| 2027 | 3.3 | 0.00 | 17 |
| 2028 | 3.2 | 0.00 | 17 |
| 2029 | 3.1 | 0.00 | 16 |
Pinyon Jay Survey Routes in Nevada
| Toiyabe Nf | 195 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Illipah | 163 | 2021 | 1968 |
| Cortez | 78 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Gardnerville | 22 | 2005 | 1992 |
| Sutcliffe | 20 | 1971 | 1968 |
| Desert Nwr | 19 | 2016 | 1990 |
| Dobbin Creek | 17 | 2018 | 1968 |
| Willis | 16 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Alamo | 16 | 1972 | 1968 |
| Ruby Valley 2 | 11 | 2016 | 2004 |
| Ranchogrande | 9 | 2016 | 1990 |
| Mizpah | 9 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Gardnerville 2 | 9 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Walker Can | 6 | 2023 | 1968 |
| Comins Lake | 5 | 2016 | 2008 |
| Caliente | 5 | 2019 | 1988 |
| Majors Place | 4 | 2019 | 1968 |
| Ruby Valley | 4 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Austin | 3 | 2018 | 2008 |
| Minerva | 2 | 2018 | 1988 |
| Hiko | 2 | 2004 | 1973 |
| Eureka | 1 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Jean Lake | 1 | 2009 | 1991 |
| Hawthorne | 1 | 1999 | 1997 |
| Darroughs Hot Spgs | 1 | 2002 | 2002 |
Pinyon Jay Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.