Species · Nevada · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
MacGillivray's Warbler Population Trend in Nevada
MacGillivray's Warbler in Nevada has fallen sharply: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1993.
-50%Since 1993
13Routes In State
33Years
Notable MacGillivray's Warbler Trends in Nevada
long arc declinecomputed index
MacGillivray's Warbler has fallen sharply in Nevada: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1993.
MacGillivray's Warbler Population Forecast in Nevada
If the recent trend holds, MacGillivray's Warbler in Nevada is projected to rise about 834% by 2029 — from 0.11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.00 (95% range 0.00–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±2006.6%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+834%Change by 2029
1.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.295% range
±2006.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.94 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2027 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2028 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2029 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
MacGillivray's Warbler Survey Routes in Nevada
| Austin | 36 | 2018 | 2008 |
| Ruby Valley | 9 | 2001 | 1999 |
| Hawthorne | 7 | 2001 | 1997 |
| Jarbidge | 6 | 2015 | 1997 |
| Comins Lake | 6 | 2016 | 2005 |
| Ruby Valley 2 | 3 | 2018 | 2004 |
| Humboldt Nf | 2 | 2019 | 1994 |
| Humboldt Nf 2 | 2 | 2024 | 2021 |
| Toiyabe Nf | 2 | 2018 | 2013 |
| Dinner Sta | 1 | 1993 | 1991 |
| Fish Creek | 1 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Gardnerville | 1 | 2003 | 2003 |
| Willis | 1 | 2024 | 1988 |
MacGillivray's Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.