Species · Idaho · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
MacGillivray's Warbler Population Trend in Idaho
MacGillivray's Warbler in Idaho has surged: up 96% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
+96%Since 1973
47Routes In State
53Years
Notable MacGillivray's Warbler Trends in Idaho
long arc increasecomputed index
MacGillivray's Warbler has surged in Idaho: up 96% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
MacGillivray's Warbler Population Forecast in Idaho
If the recent trend holds, MacGillivray's Warbler in Idaho is projected to rise about 121% by 2029 — from 2.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.0 (95% range 2.5–7.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±88%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+121%Change by 2029
5.0Projected 2029 index
2.5–7.595% range
±88%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 7.3 |
| 2026 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 7.4 |
| 2027 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 7.4 |
| 2028 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 7.5 |
| 2029 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 7.5 |
MacGillivray's Warbler Survey Routes in Idaho
| Golden | 47 | 2016 | 1987 |
| Pierce | 27 | 2007 | 1990 |
| Lolo Pass | 25 | 2019 | 1992 |
| Deep Creek | 22 | 1985 | 1985 |
| Mivoden | 19 | 2023 | 1977 |
| Magic Mtn | 18 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Centerville | 16 | 2019 | 1972 |
| N Fork Cda R | 15 | 2019 | 1993 |
| Baldy Mountain | 15 | 2016 | 2013 |
| Nezperce Nf | 14 | 1999 | 1992 |
| Cabarton | 14 | 2023 | 1985 |
| Nezperce | 12 | 2012 | 1968 |
| Cascade | 10 | 1984 | 1982 |
| Challis | 10 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Rochat Divde | 10 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Marble Creek | 10 | 2023 | 1988 |
| Avery | 9 | 2023 | 1979 |
| Coolin | 9 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Almo | 6 | 2022 | 1990 |
| Naples | 5 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Featherville | 5 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Cobalt | 4 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Sunbeam | 4 | 2019 | 1994 |
| Burgdorf | 3 | 2016 | 1988 |
| Yellow Pine | 3 | 2016 | 1989 |
MacGillivray's Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.