Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lark Sparrow Population Trend in Texas

Lark Sparrow in Texas has fallen sharply: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-65%Since 1969
226Routes In State
57Years

Notable Lark Sparrow Trends in Texas

long arc declinecomputed index

Lark Sparrow has fallen sharply in Texas: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Lark Sparrow Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Lark Sparrow in Texas is projected to fall about 43% by 2029 — from 8.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.9 (95% range 0.00–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-43%Change by 2029
4.9Projected 2029 index
0.001195% range
±37.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.90.0012
20265.60.0012
20275.40.0011
20285.10.0011
20294.90.0011

Lark Sparrow Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Lark Sparrow in Texas.
Eldorado6920231975
Pidcoke 24620242018
Pedro Creek4320051996
Pear Valley4120241969
Girard3920231994
Olney3820241969
Harper3420241969
Whit Mtn.3420191994
Childress3220241969
Pumpville3220242007
San Saba3020241969
Raymondville2920241969
Hondo2820241969
Megargel2820241994
Valley Spgs2720241967
Graford2720191967
Devils R Cyn2720241994
Utopia2620241969
Williams2620241997
Oakwood2519951967
Chandler2520041968
Charlie2520241994
Albany2420241969
Ozona2320221975
Selden2220241968

Lark Sparrow Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.