Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Lark Sparrow Population Trend in Texas
Lark Sparrow in Texas has fallen sharply: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-65%Since 1969
226Routes In State
57Years
Notable Lark Sparrow Trends in Texas
long arc declinecomputed index
Lark Sparrow has fallen sharply in Texas: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Lark Sparrow Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Lark Sparrow in Texas is projected to fall about 43% by 2029 — from 8.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.9 (95% range 0.00–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-43%Change by 2029
4.9Projected 2029 index
0.00–1195% range
±37.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.9 | 0.00 | 12 |
| 2026 | 5.6 | 0.00 | 12 |
| 2027 | 5.4 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2028 | 5.1 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2029 | 4.9 | 0.00 | 11 |
Lark Sparrow Survey Routes in Texas
| Eldorado | 69 | 2023 | 1975 |
| Pidcoke 2 | 46 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Pedro Creek | 43 | 2005 | 1996 |
| Pear Valley | 41 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Girard | 39 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Olney | 38 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Harper | 34 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Whit Mtn. | 34 | 2019 | 1994 |
| Childress | 32 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Pumpville | 32 | 2024 | 2007 |
| San Saba | 30 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Raymondville | 29 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Hondo | 28 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Megargel | 28 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Valley Spgs | 27 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Graford | 27 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Devils R Cyn | 27 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Utopia | 26 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Williams | 26 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Oakwood | 25 | 1995 | 1967 |
| Chandler | 25 | 2004 | 1968 |
| Charlie | 25 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Albany | 24 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Ozona | 23 | 2022 | 1975 |
| Selden | 22 | 2024 | 1968 |
Lark Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.