BirdAnalyst
Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lark Sparrow Population Trend in Mississippi

All statesGrassland birds

Lark Sparrow in Mississippi has surged: up 239% on the route-weighted index since 1978.

+239%Since 1978
6Routes In State
34Years

Notable Lark Sparrow Trends in Mississippi

long arc increasecomputed index

Lark Sparrow has surged in Mississippi: up 239% on the route-weighted index since 1978.

Lark Sparrow Population Forecast in Mississippi

If the recent trend holds, Lark Sparrow in Mississippi is projected to rise about 17% by 2029 — from 0.32 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.37 (95% range 0.04–0.70). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±55.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+17%Change by 2029
0.37Projected 2029 index
0.04–0.7095% range
±55.8%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.340.010.67
20260.350.020.68
20270.360.030.69
20280.360.040.69
20290.370.040.70

Lark Sparrow Survey Routes in Mississippi

Routes recording Lark Sparrow in Mississippi.
Macon420241991
Utica319681968
Aberdeen220241974
Tippo120231996
Trace Lee120142014
Tupelo120182015

Lark Sparrow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianaminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonsouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahwashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.