Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lark Sparrow Population Trend in Arkansas

Lark Sparrow in Arkansas has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-63%Since 1969
39Routes In State
57Years

Notable Lark Sparrow Trends in Arkansas

long arc declinecomputed index

Lark Sparrow has fallen sharply in Arkansas: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Lark Sparrow Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Lark Sparrow in Arkansas is projected to rise about 259% by 2029 — from 0.18 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.64 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±116.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+259%Change by 2029
0.64Projected 2029 index
0.001.395% range
±116.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.640.001.3
20260.640.001.3
20270.640.001.3
20280.640.001.3
20290.640.001.3

Lark Sparrow Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Lark Sparrow in Arkansas.
Augusta 2920162002
Fulton520231967
Russell420212010
England420242014
Poyen320051967
Eudora220161967
Ramsey219901967
Hope219771968
Hatfield 2220232017
Saffell220191982
Massard220141967
Compton219761967
Ravenden Springs220102010
Kelso220162011
Princeton220212001
Locust Bayou120161967
Stamps119971967
Ashdown120111968
Ozark Nf120162016
Crows119911967
Hollywood120021971
Blakely119971971
Harrisburg120061996
Augusta119991979
Rupert119741967

Lark Sparrow Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.