BirdAnalyst
Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lark Sparrow Population Trend in North Dakota

All statesGrassland birds

Lark Sparrow in North Dakota has surged: up 348% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+348%Since 1969
46Routes In State
57Years

Notable Lark Sparrow Trends in North Dakota

long arc increasecomputed index

Lark Sparrow has surged in North Dakota: up 347% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Lark Sparrow Population Forecast in North Dakota

If the recent trend holds, Lark Sparrow in North Dakota is projected to fall about 31% by 2029 — from 3.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 1.2–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-31%Change by 2029
2.3Projected 2029 index
1.2–3.495% range
±39.7%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.21.03.3
20262.21.13.3
20272.21.13.4
20282.31.13.4
20292.31.23.4

Lark Sparrow Survey Routes in North Dakota

Routes recording Lark Sparrow in North Dakota.
Denbigh2120241982
Zap2020241969
Emerado1320241976
Solen920242005
Cooperstown620241969
Ft Yates620041968
Gorham620181968
Webster520071990
Regan520221968
Golva520231979
Tobacco420191968
Roosevelt Pk420191982
Edgeley320242022
Carpio320231975
Bowman320241967
Parshall320131985
Forman220242005
Walcott220211967
Carson220241992
Niles220212021
Dickinson220241990
Dunn Center220241968
Bentley220241988
Powers Lake220011980
Douglas Crk220241988

Lark Sparrow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianaminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexicoohiooklahomaoregonsouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahwashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.