Species · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-necked Stilt

RecurvirostridaeShorebirdsHimantopus mexicanus

Black-necked Stilt has risen sharply: up 51% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

About the Black-necked Stilt

The Black-necked Stilt (Himantopus mexicanus) is a North American member of the Avocets & Stilts (Recurvirostridae). In this analysis it is grouped with the shorebirds.

Size
14–18 in long (35–46 cm) — a long-legged shorebird (typical for the family)
Habitat
Shorelines, mudflats, beaches, flooded fields and wet meadows.
Diet
Invertebrates probed or picked from mud, sand and shallow water.
Range
Recorded on 365 Breeding Bird Survey routes across 29 states, most concentrated in the Great Basin.
Family
Recurvirostridae · Shorebirds

Notable Black-necked Stilt TrendsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

Black-necked Stilt has risen sharply in surveyed states: up 51% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Black-necked Stilt Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black-necked Stilt is projected to rise about 89% by 2029 — from 0.14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.27 (95% range 0.00–0.58). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±115%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

If the recent trend holds, Black-necked Stilt is projected to rise about 89% by 2029 — from 0.14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.27 (95% range 0.00–0.58). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±115%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.270.000.58
20260.270.000.58
20270.270.000.58
20280.270.000.58
20290.270.000.58

Where the Black-necked Stilt Is Detected

BBS routes recording Black-necked Stilt, sized by most recent count.

Black-necked Stilt Population Trend by State

Black-necked Stilt population trend by state.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Alabamainsufficient datan/a3
Arizona+6%198211
Arkansas+710%199412
California-87%197062
Colorado-9%19989
Delaware+9%19983
Florida-87%196854
Georgiainsufficient datan/a1
Idaho-34%19917
Illinoisinsufficient datan/a2
Kansas-37%19903
Louisiana+264%196937
Marylandinsufficient datan/a1
Mississippiinsufficient datan/a4
Missouriinsufficient datan/a2
Montanainsufficient datan/a6
Nebraskainsufficient datan/a1
Nevada+141%197213
New Mexico-5%20008
North Carolinainsufficient datan/a1
Oklahomainsufficient datan/a3
Oregon-69%198215
South Carolinainsufficient datan/a1
South Dakotainsufficient datan/a2
Tennesseeinsufficient datan/a2
Texas+308%196972
Utah-18%198718
Washington+301%19899
Wyominginsufficient datan/a3

Black-necked Stilt Population Trend by Region

Bird Conservation Regions are the ecological unit for trends.

Black-necked Stilt population trend by Bird Conservation Region.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Great Basin+36%197366
Northern Rockies+104%19976
Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau+20%20007
Shortgrass Prairie+462%199031
Central Mixed Grass Prairie+10%198710
Oaks and Prairies+221%19956
Mississippi Alluvial Valley+596%199234
Southeastern Coastal Plain+4%19799
New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast-35%19984
Peninsular Florida-89%196851
Coastal California-98%197042
Sonoran and Mojave Deserts-77%197320
Chihuahuan Desert+24%199510
Tamaulipan Brushlands+109%197014
Gulf Coastal Prairie+296%196942

Black-necked Stilt Conservation Status

Our route-weighted index shows it up about 51% since 1968. Many shorebirds have declined steeply, reflecting pressure on the coastal and wetland stopovers they depend on.

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22. Trend is a route-weighted relative-abundance index, not an absolute population.